altogether, summing the chances for the next 9 drawings (which will take some years before we see 10,000 members here) yields total odds of approximately 1 in 518 (if my math is correct)
>>> sum(1.0 / r for r in (2000, 3000, 4000, 5000, 6000, 7000, 8000, 9000, 10000))
0.001928968253968254
>>> 1 / _
518.4118494137009
please feel free to add your own favorite numbers - for entertainment purposes only
The probability of not winning any of the next drawings from 2k-10k is (untested python):
numpy.prod( 1.0 - 1.0 / r for r in range( 2000, 11000, 1000 ) )
So the probability of winning at least one of those drawings is 1 minus that. Comes out to about the same in this case, about 0.2%. But if you think about it, any calculation that involves adding probabilities of events that aren't mutually exclusive could easily sum to over 1, which wouldn't make sense.
Comments
Thanks you @uptime .. i hope will win
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chmod 6777
well alrighty then!
your odds for the next drawing are 1 in 2000
and the next one after that will be 1 in 3000
and so on ...
altogether, summing the chances for the next 9 drawings (which will take some years before we see 10,000 members here) yields total odds of approximately 1 in 518 (if my math is correct)
please feel free to add your own favorite numbers - for entertainment purposes only
good luck!
HS4LIFE (+ (* 3 4) (* 5 6))
.30434782608695652173913043478260869565217391304347
"It's a hard life- to be a stick insect." - Karl Pilkington
The probability of not winning any of the next drawings from 2k-10k is (untested python):
So the probability of winning at least one of those drawings is 1 minus that. Comes out to about the same in this case, about 0.2%. But if you think about it, any calculation that involves adding probabilities of events that aren't mutually exclusive could easily sum to over 1, which wouldn't make sense.
Numberzzzzz!!!!
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you should change the thread title , some righteous white knight might take offence , and throw a hissy fit.
We're all LESbians here.
"It's a hard life- to be a stick insect." - Karl Pilkington
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HS4LIFE (+ (* 3 4) (* 5 6))
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Let me complete the rest of the line for you
“We are all LESbians here... from our own device”
Bonus points for guessing the song correctly
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Fucking Hotel California.
I hate Hotel California.
"It's a hard life- to be a stick insect." - Karl Pilkington
who won lol?
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Stay safe and healthy. Donate to the WFP.
You can choose as you please....
Won
blog | exploring visually |
Hello, 554394524
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Could you check my recent mention( of you) ?
and as always
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2 sisters 1 cup.
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